I'll use the SARS covid 2 virus as an example.
If you looked at just the short equation there is 2 options either lock everything done and saves thousands of lives or do nothing and let thousands die. But in this example the second option is being examined very well. Maybe less people die of SARS covid 2 but you may also be delaying treatment of diseases and cancers, delaying discovery of desieses and cancers, allowing child and abuse to go on unreported, destroying the economy, acumilating debt, cuasing depression to happen for many people.
In the same way you seem to be over simplifying this issue. If you have a AOC lockdown kids don't gete raped if you do have an AOC shoutdown kids don't get raped. However it isn't that simple. And some of you examples are off. Adults particulary white males are constantly under suspician. Adult males are even more under suspician if they assosiate with people under the AOC age and the percieved to be getting too close. AOC dosn't just prevent rape it prevents intergenerational assosiations which could greatly benifit both the adults and the children. There is probly much more I left out. But I think you get the picture.